Trump Warns Iran of 'Greater Force' as Israel Shuts Airspace; Indian Stocks Brace for Monday Slump

  The escalating Israel-Iran conflict, now intensified by U.S. strikes on Iranian nuclear sites, has sent shockwaves through global markets. U.S. President Donald Trump, speaking from the White House, warned Iran of “greater force” if it retaliates, labeling the nation a “Middle East bully” and urging peace. With Israeli airspace closed and U.S. B-2 stealth bombers deployed to Guam, the situation is precarious. This article analyzes the potential negative impact on the Indian stock market come Monday, as geopolitical tensions threaten economic stability. Escalation of the Israel-Iran Conflict The conflict entered its second week with the U.S. confirming strikes on Iran’s Fordow, Natanz, and Isfahan nuclear facilities. These targeted attacks follow heightened hostilities between Israel and Iran, with Trump’s remarks signaling a hardline U.S. stance. The closure of Israeli airspace underscores the severity of the situation, disrupting regional trade and aviation routes. Iran’s potent...

NSE Pauses Plan to Shift F&O Expiry to Monday After SEBI’s Consultation Paper

 


The National Stock Exchange (NSE) has deferred its plan to move the futures and options (F&O) expiry day from Thursday to Monday until further notice. This decision follows the release of a consultation paper by the Securities and Exchange Board of India (SEBI) on March 27, 2025, titled "Final Settlement Day (Expiry Day) for Equity Derivatives." Originally scheduled to take effect from April 4, 2025, the shift would have impacted the expiry dates of major indices like NIFTY, Bank NIFTY, FINNIFTY, MIDCPNIFTY, NIFTYNXT50, and all monthly contracts. Here's a detailed look at the development, SEBI’s proposal, and its implications for the Indian stock market.


NSE Defers F&O Expiry Shift: What Happened?

In a recent circular, the NSE announced:
"Members are required to note that the implementation of this circular is deferred until further notice in view of the SEBI consultation paper dated March 27, 2025 on 'Final Settlement Day (Expiry Day) for Equity Derivatives'."

The exchange had initially planned to revise the expiry schedule for its equity derivatives contracts, moving them from Thursday to Monday. However, SEBI’s consultation paper prompted the NSE to pause this change, aligning its next steps with the regulator’s guidance. This move reflects the NSE’s intent to ensure compliance and maintain market stability amid evolving regulatory frameworks.


SEBI’s Consultation Paper: Key Proposals

SEBI’s consultation paper aims to standardize and optimize expiry days for equity derivatives across exchanges. The regulator has proposed the following:

  1. Uniform Expiry Days:
    • All equity derivatives contracts on an exchange must expire on either Tuesday or Thursday. This ensures consistent spacing between expiry days across exchanges like NSE and BSE.
  2. Minimum Tenor for Contracts:
    • Apart from benchmark index options (e.g., NIFTY, Bank NIFTY), all other equity derivatives—including benchmark index futures, non-benchmark index futures/options, and single stock futures/options—will have a minimum tenor of one month.
    • These contracts will expire in the last week of every month, on either the last Tuesday or Thursday, depending on the exchange’s chosen day.
  3. Advance Approval Requirement:
    • Exchanges must now seek SEBI’s approval before launching or modifying any contract expiry or settlement day.

SEBI’s objective is clear: to enhance predictability, stability, and investor protection while reducing concentration risk on expiry days. By spacing out expiries and optimizing their frequency, the regulator aims to balance innovation, risk management, and market efficiency.


Why Did NSE Pause the Shift?

The NSE’s decision to defer the Monday expiry plan stems from SEBI’s push for uniformity. Had the NSE proceeded with the shift to Monday, it could have clashed with BSE’s existing Tuesday expiry schedule for equity derivatives. This misalignment might have disrupted trading volumes, liquidity, and market dynamics, particularly for BSE, which relies on its Tuesday expiries to attract traders. SEBI’s proposal to limit expiries to Tuesday or Thursday further complicates NSE’s original plan, necessitating a rethink.


Implications for Traders and Investors

The pause in NSE’s plan and SEBI’s proposed changes carry significant implications:

  • Market Stability: Uniform expiry days (Tuesday or Thursday) could reduce volatility spikes caused by overlapping expiries across exchanges.
  • Liquidity Distribution: Spacing expiries evenly throughout the week may prevent concentration of trading activity, benefiting both retail and institutional investors.
  • Impact on BSE: If NSE had shifted to Monday, it might have pulled volumes away from BSE’s Tuesday expiries. SEBI’s intervention ensures a level playing field.
  • Planning for Traders: With the shift deferred, traders can continue operating under the current Thursday expiry schedule for NSE’s F&O contracts until further clarity emerges.

What’s Next for NSE and SEBI?

The NSE will likely await SEBI’s final guidelines before revisiting its expiry day plans. Exchanges may need to align their schedules with the Tuesday-Thursday framework or propose alternatives for SEBI’s approval. Market participants, including traders, brokers, and institutions, will closely monitor updates to adjust their strategies accordingly.

SEBI has emphasized that its consultation paper seeks to “provide room for product innovation and risk management while ensuring investor protection and market stability.” As the regulator finalizes its stance, the Indian derivatives market could see a more structured and predictable expiry calendar.


Conclusion

The NSE’s decision to pause its F&O expiry shift to Monday reflects its responsiveness to SEBI’s regulatory oversight. With the consultation paper proposing standardized Tuesday or Thursday expiries, the focus remains on enhancing market efficiency and stability. For now, traders can breathe easy as the familiar Thursday expiry for NIFTY, Bank NIFTY, and other contracts stays intact—pending further notice. Stay tuned for updates as SEBI’s final decision could reshape the equity derivatives landscape in India.

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